2026 Hybrid Event Themes

{
  "name": "2026 Hybrid Event Themes",
  "type": "https://eips.ethereum.org/EIPS/eip-8004#registration-v1",
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          "oiUsd": 148305.58043400003,
          "title": "Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)",
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          "marketSlug": "fed-decisions-jun-sep",
          "aiRationale": "Include liquid Federal Reserve policy-resolution markets, with rate-cut, hold, or hike outcomes chosen by the agent as separate index legs.",
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              {
                "field": "question",
                "excerpt": "Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?"
              },
              {
                "field": "description",
                "excerpt": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the nex"
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            "relevanceScore": 75,
            "supportingOutcome": "YES",
            "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
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          "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
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          "oiUsd": 12756.170948,
          "title": "Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)",
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          "marketSlug": "fed-decisions-sepdec",
          "aiRationale": "Include liquid Federal Reserve policy-resolution markets, with rate-cut, hold, or hike outcomes chosen by the agent as separate index legs.",
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          "buyDirection": "YES",
          "targetWeight": 0.1696,
          "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
          "groupItemTitle": "Pause–Pause–Pause",
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                "field": "question",
                "excerpt": "Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?"
              },
              {
                "field": "description",
                "excerpt": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the nex"
              },
              {
                "field": "groupItemTitle",
                "excerpt": "Pause–Pause–Pause"
              }
            ],
            "facetKind": "direct",
            "contentRisk": "none_detected",
            "verification": "server_verified_excerpt",
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              "groupItemTitle"
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            "relevanceScore": 74,
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            "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
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          "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
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        {
          "oiUsd": 12155554.584191,
          "title": "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms",
          "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x0808de4f0cfd47947f2d1be51f9a9c52ea0fec76f73a75cfbe79ddec98d8a908",
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          "aiRationale": "Include liquid US midterm markets resolving which party controls the US House, selecting either outcome only when it improves diversification and current liquidity.",
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          "groupItemTitle": "D Senate, R House",
          "semanticEvidence": {
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              {
                "field": "question",
                "excerpt": "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House"
              },
              {
                "field": "description",
                "excerpt": "This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a ma"
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              {
                "field": "groupItemTitle",
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            "matchedFacetId": "us_house_control",
            "relevanceScore": 70,
            "supportingOutcome": "YES",
            "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
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          "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
        },
        {
          "oiUsd": 20,
          "title": "Will any player break the NFL single-season rushing yards record in the 2026-27 season?",
          "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x3dd6a91de014056b4bedcae583d368224bd61de0a800230dd8c60c65a871d149",
          "marketSlug": "pro-football-single-season-rushing-yards-record-broken-2026-27",
          "aiRationale": "Find direct liquid NFL championship winner event markets for a non-macro index sleeve.",
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                "excerpt": "Will any player break the NFL single-season rushing yards record in the 2026-27 season?"
              },
              {
                "field": "description",
                "excerpt": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any player records more than 2,105 rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season rushing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". The NFL single-season rushing yards record is 2,1"
              },
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                "field": "groupItemTitle",
                "excerpt": "Will any player break the NFL single-season rushing yards record in the 2026-27 season?"
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            "causalRelation": "Find direct liquid NFL championship winner event markets for a non-macro index sleeve.",
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            "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
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          "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
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        {
          "oiUsd": 6787.670962,
          "title": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?",
          "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x3e365cd4a3ed1b8486bf270c69791a070886fd4398d9d4dccc055817aa8efbe8",
          "marketSlug": "ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-by-october-31",
          "aiRationale": "Include liquid markets on a negotiated Russia-Ukraine ceasefire or settlement as a distinct geopolitical de-escalation exposure.",
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                "excerpt": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?"
              },
              {
                "field": "description",
                "excerpt": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilit"
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                "excerpt": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?"
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              "question",
              "description",
              "groupItemTitle"
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            "supportingOutcome": "YES",
            "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
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          "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
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        {
          "oiUsd": 24.39,
          "title": "Will any player break the NFL single-season interceptions record in the 2026-27 season?",
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          "aiRationale": "Find direct liquid NFL championship winner event markets for a non-macro index sleeve.",
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          "groupItemTitle": "Will any player break the NFL single-season interceptions record in the 2026-27 season?",
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                "field": "question",
                "excerpt": "Will any player break the NFL single-season interceptions record in the 2026-27 season?"
              },
              {
                "field": "description",
                "excerpt": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any player records more than 14 interceptions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season interceptions record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". The NFL single-season interceptions record is 14, se"
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              {
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                "excerpt": "Will any player break the NFL single-season interceptions record in the 2026-27 season?"
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            {
              "oiUsd": 148305.58043400003,
              "title": "Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)",
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              "marketSlug": "fed-decisions-jun-sep",
              "aiRationale": "Include liquid Federal Reserve policy-resolution markets, with rate-cut, hold, or hike outcomes chosen by the agent as separate index legs.",
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              "groupItemTitle": "Other",
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                    "field": "question",
                    "excerpt": "Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "description",
                    "excerpt": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the nex"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "groupItemTitle",
                    "excerpt": "Other"
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                "evidenceFields": [
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                  "description",
                  "groupItemTitle"
                ],
                "matchedFacetId": "fed_rate_decision",
                "relevanceScore": 75,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
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              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
            }
          ],
          "title": "Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)",
          "marketSlug": "fed-decisions-jun-sep",
          "targetWeight": 0.1708
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        {
          "legs": [
            {
              "oiUsd": 12756.170948,
              "title": "Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)",
              "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x84f8751f3c947d39418355eed84d14e0aa9524377aaeb926658d6598973bd203",
              "marketSlug": "fed-decisions-sepdec",
              "aiRationale": "Include liquid Federal Reserve policy-resolution markets, with rate-cut, hold, or hike outcomes chosen by the agent as separate index legs.",
              "conditionId": "0x84f8751f3c947d39418355eed84d14e0aa9524377aaeb926658d6598973bd203",
              "buyDirection": "YES",
              "targetWeight": 0.1696,
              "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
              "groupItemTitle": "Pause–Pause–Pause",
              "semanticEvidence": {
                "excerpts": [
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                    "field": "question",
                    "excerpt": "Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "description",
                    "excerpt": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the nex"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "groupItemTitle",
                    "excerpt": "Pause–Pause–Pause"
                  }
                ],
                "facetKind": "direct",
                "contentRisk": "none_detected",
                "verification": "server_verified_excerpt",
                "retrievalMode": "semantic",
                "causalRelation": "Include liquid Federal Reserve policy-resolution markets, with rate-cut, hold, or hike outcomes chosen by the agent as separate index legs.",
                "evidenceFields": [
                  "question",
                  "description",
                  "groupItemTitle"
                ],
                "matchedFacetId": "fed_rate_decision",
                "relevanceScore": 74,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
              },
              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
            }
          ],
          "title": "Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)",
          "marketSlug": "fed-decisions-sepdec",
          "targetWeight": 0.1696
        },
        {
          "legs": [
            {
              "oiUsd": 12155554.584191,
              "title": "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms",
              "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x0808de4f0cfd47947f2d1be51f9a9c52ea0fec76f73a75cfbe79ddec98d8a908",
              "marketSlug": "balance-of-power-2026-midterms",
              "aiRationale": "Include liquid US midterm markets resolving which party controls the US House, selecting either outcome only when it improves diversification and current liquidity.",
              "conditionId": "0x0808de4f0cfd47947f2d1be51f9a9c52ea0fec76f73a75cfbe79ddec98d8a908",
              "buyDirection": "YES",
              "targetWeight": 0.1649,
              "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
              "groupItemTitle": "D Senate, R House",
              "semanticEvidence": {
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                  {
                    "field": "question",
                    "excerpt": "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "description",
                    "excerpt": "This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a ma"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "groupItemTitle",
                    "excerpt": "D Senate, R House"
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                "facetKind": "direct",
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                "retrievalMode": "semantic",
                "causalRelation": "Include liquid US midterm markets resolving which party controls the US House, selecting either outcome only when it improves diversification and current liquidity.",
                "evidenceFields": [
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                  "description",
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                "matchedFacetId": "us_house_control",
                "relevanceScore": 70,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
              },
              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
            }
          ],
          "title": "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms",
          "marketSlug": "balance-of-power-2026-midterms",
          "targetWeight": 0.1649
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        {
          "legs": [
            {
              "oiUsd": 20,
              "title": "Will any player break the NFL single-season rushing yards record in the 2026-27 season?",
              "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x3dd6a91de014056b4bedcae583d368224bd61de0a800230dd8c60c65a871d149",
              "marketSlug": "pro-football-single-season-rushing-yards-record-broken-2026-27",
              "aiRationale": "Find direct liquid NFL championship winner event markets for a non-macro index sleeve.",
              "conditionId": "0x3dd6a91de014056b4bedcae583d368224bd61de0a800230dd8c60c65a871d149",
              "buyDirection": "YES",
              "targetWeight": 0.1649,
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              "groupItemTitle": "Will any player break the NFL single-season rushing yards record in the 2026-27 season?",
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                    "field": "question",
                    "excerpt": "Will any player break the NFL single-season rushing yards record in the 2026-27 season?"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "description",
                    "excerpt": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any player records more than 2,105 rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season rushing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". The NFL single-season rushing yards record is 2,1"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "groupItemTitle",
                    "excerpt": "Will any player break the NFL single-season rushing yards record in the 2026-27 season?"
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                "retrievalMode": "keyword",
                "causalRelation": "Find direct liquid NFL championship winner event markets for a non-macro index sleeve.",
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                "matchedFacetId": "nfl_championship",
                "relevanceScore": 70,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
              },
              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
            }
          ],
          "title": "Will any player break the NFL single-season rushing yards record in the 2026-27 season?",
          "marketSlug": "pro-football-single-season-rushing-yards-record-broken-2026-27",
          "targetWeight": 0.1649
        },
        {
          "legs": [
            {
              "oiUsd": 6787.670962,
              "title": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?",
              "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x3e365cd4a3ed1b8486bf270c69791a070886fd4398d9d4dccc055817aa8efbe8",
              "marketSlug": "ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-by-october-31",
              "aiRationale": "Include liquid markets on a negotiated Russia-Ukraine ceasefire or settlement as a distinct geopolitical de-escalation exposure.",
              "conditionId": "0x3e365cd4a3ed1b8486bf270c69791a070886fd4398d9d4dccc055817aa8efbe8",
              "buyDirection": "YES",
              "targetWeight": 0.1649,
              "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
              "groupItemTitle": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?",
              "semanticEvidence": {
                "excerpts": [
                  {
                    "field": "question",
                    "excerpt": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "description",
                    "excerpt": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilit"
                  },
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                    "excerpt": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?"
                  }
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                "verification": "server_verified_excerpt",
                "retrievalMode": "keyword",
                "causalRelation": "Include liquid markets on a negotiated Russia-Ukraine ceasefire or settlement as a distinct geopolitical de-escalation exposure.",
                "evidenceFields": [
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                  "groupItemTitle"
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                "matchedFacetId": "russia_ukraine_settlement",
                "relevanceScore": 70,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
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              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
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          ],
          "title": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?",
          "marketSlug": "ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-by-october-31",
          "targetWeight": 0.1649
        },
        {
          "legs": [
            {
              "oiUsd": 24.39,
              "title": "Will any player break the NFL single-season interceptions record in the 2026-27 season?",
              "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x3fe7ac2d663a3a42621b57431fc76378cbf9ae621b64be4bb5f3f30efa329df5",
              "marketSlug": "pro-football-single-season-interceptions-record-broken-2026-27",
              "aiRationale": "Find direct liquid NFL championship winner event markets for a non-macro index sleeve.",
              "conditionId": "0x3fe7ac2d663a3a42621b57431fc76378cbf9ae621b64be4bb5f3f30efa329df5",
              "buyDirection": "YES",
              "targetWeight": 0.1649,
              "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
              "groupItemTitle": "Will any player break the NFL single-season interceptions record in the 2026-27 season?",
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                  {
                    "field": "question",
                    "excerpt": "Will any player break the NFL single-season interceptions record in the 2026-27 season?"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "description",
                    "excerpt": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any player records more than 14 interceptions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season interceptions record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". The NFL single-season interceptions record is 14, se"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "groupItemTitle",
                    "excerpt": "Will any player break the NFL single-season interceptions record in the 2026-27 season?"
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                "retrievalMode": "keyword",
                "causalRelation": "Find direct liquid NFL championship winner event markets for a non-macro index sleeve.",
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