2026 Sports Champions and Volatility

{
  "name": "2026 Sports Champions and Volatility",
  "type": "https://eips.ethereum.org/EIPS/eip-8004#registration-v1",
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          "oiUsd": 78806.417483,
          "title": "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner",
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          "marketSlug": "pro-football-2026-mvp-winner",
          "aiRationale": "The selected player wins the 2026 NFL MVP award.",
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          "buyDirection": "YES",
          "targetWeight": 0.1818,
          "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
          "groupItemTitle": "Patrick Mahomes",
          "semanticEvidence": {
            "excerpts": [
              {
                "field": "question",
                "excerpt": "Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?"
              },
              {
                "field": "description",
                "excerpt": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will"
              },
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                "excerpt": "Patrick Mahomes"
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          "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
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        {
          "oiUsd": 642015.682173,
          "title": "MLB World Series Champion 2026",
          "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x3df7be753c8b6ebbddf31d6d63535c4b31c836cb25b1a73085508a271bc103db",
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          "groupItemTitle": "New York Yankees",
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                "field": "question",
                "excerpt": "Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?"
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              {
                "field": "description",
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              },
              {
                "field": "groupItemTitle",
                "excerpt": "New York Yankees"
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          "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
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        {
          "oiUsd": 5728.845521,
          "title": "Pro Football: NFC West Champion",
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                "field": "question",
                "excerpt": "Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?"
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              },
              {
                "field": "groupItemTitle",
                "excerpt": "Seattle Seahawks"
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              "description",
              "groupItemTitle"
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            "horizonCompatibility": "compatible"
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          "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
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        {
          "oiUsd": 11983.437093,
          "title": "Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs",
          "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x0922293615ab6434b324ed83aa48b4dba054bc6d152176c62fb5590c85185298",
          "marketSlug": "cs2-zerote-pg5-2026-09-08",
          "aiRationale": "The selected side wins Map 2 in a live esports match.",
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          "buyDirection": "YES",
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          "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
          "groupItemTitle": "Map 2 Winner",
          "semanticEvidence": {
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              {
                "field": "question",
                "excerpt": "Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer Gaming - Map 2 Winner"
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              {
                "field": "rules",
                "excerpt": "This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between ex-Zero Tenacity and Privateer Gaming in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to \"ex-Zero Tenacity\" if ex-Zero Ten"
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                "excerpt": "https://hltv.org"
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            "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
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          "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
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        {
          "oiUsd": 3370.545291,
          "title": "Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Team Novaq (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs",
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                "excerpt": "Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winner"
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                "excerpt": "This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between WW Team and Team Novaq in the 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to \"WW Team\" if WW Team win Map 2 against Team Novaq. Th"
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          "title": "Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B",
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          "groupItemTitle": "Map 2 Winner",
          "semanticEvidence": {
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              {
                "field": "question",
                "excerpt": "Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner"
              },
              {
                "field": "rules",
                "excerpt": "This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between GamerLegion and FURIA in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 1:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to \"GamerLegion\" if GamerLegion win Map 2 against FURIA. "
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            "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
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      "events": [
        {
          "legs": [
            {
              "oiUsd": 78806.417483,
              "title": "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner",
              "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x5d41b5d07bc3096d92d35674e7bbc1af421243a69c8e313659e254e9962a59b8",
              "marketSlug": "pro-football-2026-mvp-winner",
              "aiRationale": "The selected player wins the 2026 NFL MVP award.",
              "conditionId": "0x5d41b5d07bc3096d92d35674e7bbc1af421243a69c8e313659e254e9962a59b8",
              "buyDirection": "YES",
              "targetWeight": 0.1818,
              "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
              "groupItemTitle": "Patrick Mahomes",
              "semanticEvidence": {
                "excerpts": [
                  {
                    "field": "question",
                    "excerpt": "Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "description",
                    "excerpt": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "groupItemTitle",
                    "excerpt": "Patrick Mahomes"
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                "contentRisk": "none_detected",
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                "retrievalMode": "semantic",
                "causalRelation": "The selected player wins the 2026 NFL MVP award.",
                "evidenceFields": [
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                  "description",
                  "groupItemTitle"
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                "matchedFacetId": "nfl_mvp_2026_award",
                "relevanceScore": 93,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "compatible"
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              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
            }
          ],
          "title": "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner",
          "marketSlug": "pro-football-2026-mvp-winner",
          "targetWeight": 0.1818
        },
        {
          "legs": [
            {
              "oiUsd": 642015.682173,
              "title": "MLB World Series Champion 2026",
              "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x3df7be753c8b6ebbddf31d6d63535c4b31c836cb25b1a73085508a271bc103db",
              "marketSlug": "mlb-world-series-champion-2026",
              "aiRationale": "The selected club wins the 2026 World Series.",
              "conditionId": "0x3df7be753c8b6ebbddf31d6d63535c4b31c836cb25b1a73085508a271bc103db",
              "buyDirection": "YES",
              "targetWeight": 0.1766,
              "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
              "groupItemTitle": "New York Yankees",
              "semanticEvidence": {
                "excerpts": [
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                    "field": "question",
                    "excerpt": "Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "description",
                    "excerpt": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "groupItemTitle",
                    "excerpt": "New York Yankees"
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                "facetKind": "direct",
                "contentRisk": "none_detected",
                "verification": "server_verified_excerpt",
                "retrievalMode": "semantic",
                "causalRelation": "The selected club wins the 2026 World Series.",
                "evidenceFields": [
                  "question",
                  "description",
                  "groupItemTitle"
                ],
                "matchedFacetId": "mlb_world_series_2026_champion",
                "relevanceScore": 88,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "compatible"
              },
              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
            }
          ],
          "title": "MLB World Series Champion 2026",
          "marketSlug": "mlb-world-series-champion-2026",
          "targetWeight": 0.1766
        },
        {
          "legs": [
            {
              "oiUsd": 5728.845521,
              "title": "Pro Football: NFC West Champion",
              "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0xcc9f029bbc572cbd3ef5dcb2befcc25ee7cbd38ee3c6af7f78fbeb9bafbffe64",
              "marketSlug": "pro-football-nfc-west-champion",
              "aiRationale": "The selected team wins the championship for the 2026 NFL season.",
              "conditionId": "0xcc9f029bbc572cbd3ef5dcb2befcc25ee7cbd38ee3c6af7f78fbeb9bafbffe64",
              "buyDirection": "YES",
              "targetWeight": 0.1691,
              "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
              "groupItemTitle": "Seattle Seahawks",
              "semanticEvidence": {
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                  {
                    "field": "question",
                    "excerpt": "Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "description",
                    "excerpt": "This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the NFC West division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular se"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "groupItemTitle",
                    "excerpt": "Seattle Seahawks"
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                "facetKind": "direct",
                "contentRisk": "none_detected",
                "verification": "server_verified_excerpt",
                "retrievalMode": "semantic",
                "causalRelation": "The selected team wins the championship for the 2026 NFL season.",
                "evidenceFields": [
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                  "description",
                  "groupItemTitle"
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                "matchedFacetId": "nfl_2026_season_champion",
                "relevanceScore": 81,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "compatible"
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              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
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          ],
          "title": "Pro Football: NFC West Champion",
          "marketSlug": "pro-football-nfc-west-champion",
          "targetWeight": 0.1691
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        {
          "legs": [
            {
              "oiUsd": 11983.437093,
              "title": "Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs",
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              "marketSlug": "cs2-zerote-pg5-2026-09-08",
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              "groupItemTitle": "Map 2 Winner",
              "semanticEvidence": {
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                    "excerpt": "Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer Gaming - Map 2 Winner"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "rules",
                    "excerpt": "This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between ex-Zero Tenacity and Privateer Gaming in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to \"ex-Zero Tenacity\" if ex-Zero Ten"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "resolutionSource",
                    "excerpt": "https://hltv.org"
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                "facetKind": "direct",
                "contentRisk": "none_detected",
                "verification": "server_verified_excerpt",
                "retrievalMode": "keyword",
                "causalRelation": "The selected side wins Map 2 in a live esports match.",
                "evidenceFields": [
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                  "resolutionSource"
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                "matchedFacetId": "live_esports_map2_favorite",
                "relevanceScore": 70,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
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              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
            }
          ],
          "title": "Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs",
          "marketSlug": "cs2-zerote-pg5-2026-09-08",
          "targetWeight": 0.1575
        },
        {
          "legs": [
            {
              "oiUsd": 3370.545291,
              "title": "Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Team Novaq (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs",
              "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x0e5600477a843604e207e93edfac4a628d255d1f59a8d0b14033b559b3b967cc",
              "marketSlug": "cs2-ww-nvq-2026-09-08",
              "aiRationale": "The selected side wins Map 2 in a live esports match.",
              "conditionId": "0x0e5600477a843604e207e93edfac4a628d255d1f59a8d0b14033b559b3b967cc",
              "buyDirection": "YES",
              "targetWeight": 0.1575,
              "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
              "groupItemTitle": "Map 2 Winner",
              "semanticEvidence": {
                "excerpts": [
                  {
                    "field": "question",
                    "excerpt": "Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Team Novaq - Map 2 Winner"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "rules",
                    "excerpt": "This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between WW Team and Team Novaq in the 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to \"WW Team\" if WW Team win Map 2 against Team Novaq. Th"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "resolutionSource",
                    "excerpt": "https://hltv.org"
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                ],
                "facetKind": "direct",
                "contentRisk": "none_detected",
                "verification": "server_verified_excerpt",
                "retrievalMode": "keyword",
                "causalRelation": "The selected side wins Map 2 in a live esports match.",
                "evidenceFields": [
                  "question",
                  "rules",
                  "resolutionSource"
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                "matchedFacetId": "live_esports_map2_favorite",
                "relevanceScore": 70,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
              },
              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
            }
          ],
          "title": "Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Team Novaq (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs",
          "marketSlug": "cs2-ww-nvq-2026-09-08",
          "targetWeight": 0.1575
        },
        {
          "legs": [
            {
              "oiUsd": 99450.87042400001,
              "title": "Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B",
              "marketRef": "pm:conditionId:0x162ea59ddf373ba7024ab0b12d9186e4bd07ab8adc8399bad6905a02f0f49b87",
              "marketSlug": "cs2-gl1-furia-2026-09-08",
              "aiRationale": "The selected side wins Map 2 in a live esports match.",
              "conditionId": "0x162ea59ddf373ba7024ab0b12d9186e4bd07ab8adc8399bad6905a02f0f49b87",
              "buyDirection": "YES",
              "targetWeight": 0.1575,
              "allocationRole": "thesis_anchor",
              "groupItemTitle": "Map 2 Winner",
              "semanticEvidence": {
                "excerpts": [
                  {
                    "field": "question",
                    "excerpt": "Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner"
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "rules",
                    "excerpt": "This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between GamerLegion and FURIA in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 1:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to \"GamerLegion\" if GamerLegion win Map 2 against FURIA. "
                  },
                  {
                    "field": "resolutionSource",
                    "excerpt": "https://hltv.org"
                  }
                ],
                "facetKind": "direct",
                "contentRisk": "none_detected",
                "verification": "server_verified_excerpt",
                "retrievalMode": "keyword",
                "causalRelation": "The selected side wins Map 2 in a live esports match.",
                "evidenceFields": [
                  "question",
                  "rules",
                  "resolutionSource"
                ],
                "matchedFacetId": "live_esports_map2_favorite",
                "relevanceScore": 70,
                "supportingOutcome": "YES",
                "horizonCompatibility": "unknown"
              },
              "allocationRationaleCode": "DIRECT_THESIS_MATCH"
            }
          ],
          "title": "Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B",
          "marketSlug": "cs2-gl1-furia-2026-09-08",
          "targetWeight": 0.1575
        }
      ],
      "thesis": "Sports futures basket: blend live-match volatility with clear 2026 season champions and awards markets. Start from liquid anchors such as Harry Kane · Alexander Zverev · Map 2 Winner. Choose directions and weights yourself — do not force a fixed percentage split.",
      "constraints": {
        "minOiUsd": 3000,
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